Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.020410 0.022058 0.023775 0.025700 0.027800 0.030021 0.032551
2025-10-05 0.017619 0.019971 0.022553 0.025606 0.029122 0.033055 0.037797
2025-10-12 0.015910 0.018684 0.021851 0.025747 0.030427 0.035887 0.042769
2025-10-19 0.014609 0.017653 0.021240 0.025799 0.031466 0.038313 0.047269
2025-10-26 0.013539 0.016761 0.020663 0.025761 0.032289 0.040422 0.051406
2025-11-02 0.012656 0.016007 0.020161 0.025727 0.033044 0.042412 0.055438
2025-11-09 0.011726 0.015114 0.019402 0.025276 0.033181 0.043554 0.058360
2025-11-16 0.010915 0.014312 0.018695 0.024820 0.033245 0.044552 0.061090
2025-11-23 0.010338 0.013777 0.018295 0.024730 0.033768 0.046163 0.064721
2025-11-30 0.009782 0.013233 0.017843 0.024528 0.034098 0.047493 0.067996
2025-12-07 0.009304 0.012765 0.017463 0.024392 0.034494 0.048911 0.071450
2025-12-14 0.008842 0.012293 0.017048 0.024172 0.034741 0.050103 0.074606
2025-12-21 0.008462 0.011933 0.016793 0.024199 0.035396 0.051998 0.079066
2025-12-28 0.008067 0.011533 0.016460 0.024096 0.035851 0.053623 0.083228
2026-01-04 0.007771 0.011259 0.016294 0.024225 0.036657 0.055819 0.088428
2026-01-11 0.007475 0.010970 0.016086 0.024273 0.037328 0.057825 0.093434
2026-01-18 0.007181 0.010666 0.015838 0.024238 0.037854 0.059615 0.098177
2026-01-25 0.006909 0.010381 0.015603 0.024206 0.038374 0.061411 0.103029
2026-02-01 0.006562 0.009964 0.015142 0.023784 0.038225 0.062078 0.105941
2026-02-08 0.006239 0.009568 0.014694 0.023358 0.038038 0.062660 0.108722
2026-02-15 0.006013 0.009317 0.014464 0.023274 0.038420 0.064224 0.113364
2026-02-22 0.005778 0.009041 0.014180 0.023085 0.038605 0.065445 0.117439
2026-03-01 0.005571 0.008800 0.013941 0.022958 0.038885 0.066842 0.121925